Turns out, my DTW Letter was really F-ing close on drop offs.

This data. Is nuts.

A lot of thanks go to the teams at Smart Elections, Reddit and my own posse.

Read the numbers yourself.

In short.

In every Swing State Trump has historically huge drop-off votes

Ranging from 3% in WI up to 10% in AZ and NV.

Meanwhile Kamala has normal drop offs of less than 1% in WI, MI, and NV. But has NEGATIVE Drop Offs of over 5% in NV, AZ and OH?

I want to meet the hundreds of thousands of democrats who voted in this election, and skipped the Presidential vote. I can understand 2% of Dem Voters in Delaware apparently did this. Biden ultra-loyalists, but anywhere else?

(The team at Smart Elections is presently updating portions of the national data comparison and adding states - will post the updated data ASAP)

And on a personal vindication front. A whole lot of Karen’s were a whole lot of big mad my DTW letter had 11-14% of Trump Voters who only voted Trump. Everyone noted it could never be that high and as numbers piled up, it turns out it was 6.1% which is an order of magnitude above normal. But the delta I calculated was correct. It’s 11.6% because according to the computer outputs 5.5% of Democratic voters took a ballot and skipped the Presidential race. They didn’t vote Trump. They didn’t vote Kamala. They left it blank?

Really Tabulation Computers? This data says if we look at the paper-ballot boxes in NC of the 5,724,001 voters who went to the Polls

We would see these two never seen before things:

25,185 made no selection for President (0.44% of total)

And every single cross over vote, and every President only vote went to Donald Trump. All of them. Everyone of them.

663,984 Votes are Trump Drop-offs for Dem Cross-overs.

I personally know four registered GOP voters in NC who crossed over for Kamala. For every one of them, you would need to add another Dem Crossover who voted Trump.

No way. I don’t believe these numbers. Hand Recount will never, ever find this output.